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Bayesian philosophers see the conditional relationship as more basic than that of joint events - that is, more compatible with the organization of human knowledge. In this view, B serves as a pointer to a context or frame of knowledge, and A I B stands for an event A in the context specified by B (e.g. , a symptom A in the context of a disease B).Consequently, empirical knowledge invariably will be encoded in conditional probability statements, whereas belief in joint events (if it is ever needed) will be computed from those statements via the product peA, B) = peA I B) P(B), (1.9) which is equivalent to (1.8).
Judea Pearl - Causality_ Models, Reasoning, and Inference-Cambridge University Press
2000
The presence of rain gave birth to the invention of an umbrella. In the same way, the presence of misery gave birth to the idea of happiness. No human being seeks happiness. What he seeks is an escape from misery
Direct Truth - Uncompromising, Non-Prescriptive Truths to the Enduring Questions of Life
Kapil Gupta
You also want to be an exponential curve yourself—you should aim for your life to follow an ever-increasing up-and-to-the-right trajectory. It’s important to move towards a career that has a compounding effect—most careers progress fairly linearly.
How to Be Successful
Sam Altman
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