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When we work backward from results to figure out why those things happened, we are susceptible to a variety of cognitive traps, like assuming causation when there is only a correlation, or cherry-picking data to confirm the narrative we prefer. We will pound a lot of square pegs into round holes to maintain the illusion of a tight relationship between our outcomes and our decisions.
Thinking in Bets
Annie Duke
Without this simple safeguard against misguided social proof, our prospects might well run parallel to those of the freeway lane switchers and the North American buffalo: Crash.
Influence
Robert B. Cialdini PhD
Again, success in this process comes down to being brutally honest with yourself. Did you cheat on a habit you’re trying to break? Even if you didn’t tell anyone about it? Especially if you lied about it?
My Self-Evaluation Guide and Templates - Shelby Smith
shelbysmith.co
...catch up on these, and many more highlights
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