A batch of the best highlights from what Edwin's read, .
The person you’re most likely to mislead is yourself. And you don’t know you’re doing it, because you’re living in the inside view.
How to Decide
Annie Duke
Forget 10x programmers. 1,000x programmers really exist, we just don’t fully acknowledge it. See @ID_AA_Carmack, @notch, Satoshi Nakamoto, etc.
The Almanack of Naval Ravikant
Eric Jorgenson, Jack Butcher, and Tim Ferriss
In conclusion: Never judge a decision purely by its result, especially when randomness and "external factors" play a role.
A bad result does not automatically indicate a bad decision and vice versa. So rather than tearing your hair out about a wrong decision, or applauding yourself for one that have only coincidentally led to success, remember why you chose what you may did. Were your reasons rational and understandable? Then you would do well to stick with that method, even if you didn't strike it lucky last time.