Join 📚 Christian Champ's Highlights
A batch of the best highlights from what Christian's read, .
Here's my stab at these universal commonalities:
1. A higher power 2. Life after death 3. The power of prayer 4. Transcendence 5. Community 6. A moral compass 7. The force of love 8. Increased compassion 9. Service to the poor 10. A strong sense of purpose
As my friend and mentor Parker Palmer, teaches, “Violence is what we do when we don’t know what to do with our suffering.” Violence to our planet, violence to our communities, and violence to ourselves are what we do when we refuse to look inward and work with the heartbreak of the everyday.
Coming up with an outside view, an inside view, and a synthesis of the two isn’t the end. It’s a good beginning. Superforecasters constantly look for other views they can synthesize into their own. There are many different ways to obtain new perspectives. What do other forecasters think? What outside and inside views have they come up with? What are experts saying? You can even train yourself to generate different perspectives. When Bill Flack makes a judgment, he often explains his thinking to his teammates, as David Rogg did, and he asks them to critique it. In part, he does that because he hopes they’ll spot flaws and offer their own perspectives. But writing his judgment down is also a way of distancing himself from it, so he can step back and scrutinize it: “It’s an auto-feedback thing,” he says. “Do I agree with this? Are there holes in this? Should I be looking for something else to fill this in? Would I be convinced by this if I were somebody else?”
Superforecasting
Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner
...catch up on these, and many more highlights
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