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Isn’t there a danger in creating Tim Tebows? That is, isn’t it likely that we will create strong attractors for movement solutions that work early in the learning process but will not be successful later on (and will be more difficult to change at that point)? I am not worried about this happening if we continue to move practice up the representativeness continuum and use the 70% rule as a guide. Attractors for ineffective movement solutions do not arise because we fail to step in to prescriptively correct them. Instead, they arise because we spend too much time practicing in conditions of low representativeness with a very high-performance success rate.
Learning to Be an “Ecological” Coach
Rob Gray
A probabilistic thinker will be less distracted by “why” questions and focus on “how.” This is no semantic quibble. “Why?” directs us to metaphysics; “How?” sticks with physics. The probabilistic thinker would say, “Yes, it was extremely improbable that I would meet my partner that night, but I had to be somewhere and she had to be somewhere and happily for us our somewheres coincided.” The economist and Nobel laureate Robert Shiller tells the story of how Henry Ford decided to hire workers at the then-astonishingly high rate of $5 a day, which convinced both his grandfathers to move to Detroit to work for Ford. If someone had made one of his grandfathers a better job offer, if one of his grandfathers had been kicked in the head by a horse, if someone had convinced Ford he was crazy to pay $5 a day…if an almost infinite number of events had turned out differently, Robert Shiller would not have been born.
Superforecasting
Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner
One of my most important is the mantra “coming alive over getting ahead.”
The Pathless Path
Paul Millerd
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