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“Not everything that counts can be counted,” goes a famous saying, “and not everything that can be counted counts.”
Superforecasting
Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner
17. Mismatch Theory:
Moths evolved to navigate by the moon, a good strategy until the invention of electric lamps, which now lead them astray. Equally, humans evolved to be tribal, a good strategy until the Digital Age, where it now leads us to act like polarized goons online.
My Friends, a New MEGATH...
@G_S_Bhogal on Twitter
To say that all Chinese people are short, however, is to stereotype. The key to a stereotype is that it is impervious to factual testing. A stereotype brooks no annoying interference with reality, and it relies on the clever use of confirmation bias to dismiss all exceptions as irrelevant. (Racists have mastered this mode of argument: “All Romanians are thieves except this one lady I work with, but she’s different.”) Stereotypes are not predictions, they’re conclusions. That’s why it’s called “prejudice”: it relies on pre-judging.
The Death of Expertise
Tom Nichols
...catch up on these, and many more highlights
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