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11. The Lesser Minds Problem:
We dismiss those we disagree with as stupid, insane or evil because it saves us from having to deal with the complex truth: that people see things differently from us largely because the labyrinth of experience has led them to different conclusions.
Everyone, a New MEGATHRE...
@G_S_Bhogal on Twitter
In short, replacing you with a model of you does two things: it eliminates your subtlety, and it eliminates your pattern noise. The robust finding that the model of the judge is more valid than the judge conveys an important message: the gains from subtle rules in human judgment—when they exist—are generally not sufficient to compensate for the detrimental effects of noise. You may believe that you are subtler, more insightful, and more nuanced than the linear caricature of your thinking. But in fact, you are mostly noisier.
Noise
Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein
REITERATION EFFECT
Joseph Goebbels said* “Repeat a lie enough times and it becomes the truth”, and he was right; repetition can make people believe things they usually wouldn’t.
*Goebbels didn’t actually say this, but everyone thinks he did because of the Reiteration Effect.
New Megathread Just Drop...
@G_S_Bhogal on Twitter
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